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Dota 2 cosmetics trade through the Steam Market and trade offers like CS2 skins, but the economy is smaller and more collector-driven: a handful of Arcanas, Immortals from the early Compendiums and event couriers hold most of the value, while the thousands of common sets trade for cents. Battle pass items are often marked untradeable, and that single flag decides whether an item has any market at all.

What drives the price of Dota 2 cosmetics

Major factors

• Tradability. Many battle pass rewards are untradeable and unmarketable. An untradeable Arcana is worth nothing outside the account it sits on.
• Era and drop source. Immortals from the 2013–2015 Compendiums, early Genuine couriers and event-locked sets carry premiums that the same item's later reissue does not.
• Effects and unusual couriers. Unusual couriers are priced by effect and colour; a rare ethereal-and-prismatic pairing is worth many times the base courier.

Minor factors

• Gem sockets and inscriptions. Kinetic and ethereal gems add value only on items where the effect is visible in play.
• Hero popularity. An Arcana for a popular hero sells faster and higher than one for a hero nobody plays.
• Set completeness. Buyers pay a premium for a full set and discount single pieces.

How Dota 2 cosmetics tend to tier

• Collector. Early Compendium Immortals, unusual couriers, discontinued Arcanas that still trade. Priced piece by piece.
• Liquid. Current Arcanas and popular Immortals with market history. The market median minus the cash discount is close.
• Bulk. Common and rare sets, most couriers, treasures. Sold in lots.

What buyers will not pay extra for

• Untradeable battle pass rewards, whatever they are.
• Common sets from treasures still opened daily.
• Dota Plus shards and levels, which stay on the account.

Selling Dota 2 cosmetics

• Confirm the item is tradeable and marketable before you list it.
• State the source (Compendium year, event) for Immortals; it is most of the price.
• For couriers, list the effect and colour exactly.

The commission for sellers here is 0% — you receive exactly the price you set, and the buyer’s payment sits in escrow until the trade is confirmed. Apply to sell.

Buying Dota 2 cosmetics for value

• Check the tradeable flag on the item before paying; a screenshot of the inventory shows it.
• Expect a seven-day hold after a market purchase.
• Pay through escrow; the trade offer confirms delivery.

Methodology: how the estimate is built

Every estimate is produced by an AI model reading your own description of the item — the name, the rarity or tier, the quantity, how much demand you see and how it will be delivered — against a plain-language account of what buyers in this game actually pay for, written by people who trade here. It returns a low, expected and high value in US dollars and a confidence label. It does not look up a price list, does not scrape other sites and does not use any listing on this marketplace as a comparable.

Why a range, not a number

Two listings of Dota 2 items are rarely the same bundle. The same item comes with different wear, quantity, timing and delivery. A single figure would pretend to a precision the description cannot support; a range you can trust is more useful than a number that looks exact and is not.

What it deliberately ignores

Prices you paste in, claims about what someone once paid, and hype words. The model prices what you name, not what you hope. It also refuses to price an item the way it cannot change hands — an account-bound skin “by trade” gets priced as the account premium it really is.

Honest about being AI-only

This is a starting point for a listing or a sanity check before a purchase, not a quote and not a guarantee. Real sale prices depend on the month, the buyer and how cleanly the item delivers. Run it, take the range, then look at what is actually for sale.